Free and Fair, No Joke
Tajikistan is moving ahead towards what can be the country’s first genuinely free and fair presidential election. For Emomali Rakhmonov, who on September 23 was unanimously nominated by the ruling People’s Democratic Party to seek another term in the office, the election scheduled for November 6 is a mere formality.
Tajikistan is no different from its neighbors in Central Asia in terms of rich history of falsified elections. Fraud and manipulation have been general features of all elections held in the country since independence. One important characteristic however distinguishes Tajikistan’s presidential elections: their outcome has never been falsified; only the numbers were manipulated. It was done mainly due to the region’s inviolable tradition of “granting” no less than 90 percent of the vote to the leader, with Turkmenistan’s Sapharmurat Niyazov setting the record of 99 percent.
President Rakhmonov, in office since 1994 and now having a chance to stay for at least seven other years after amending the constitution, has never had much problems with winning the election. The problem was the percentage of votes that had to be no less than what his neighbors in the region were getting. This is where election manipulation came from: the winner got everything, including the votes of his opponents.
This year’s elections however will serve as a benchmark in Tajikistan’s modern history as the first presidential elections free of any manipulation. The reason for that is that the incumbent president has no opponents except on paper.
Tajikistan’s leading political parties have silently allowed Rakhmonov to stay in the office without any struggle at all. Islamic Revival Party, Democratic and Social-Democratic parties announced this week that they will not participate in the upcoming presidential election.
With the Communist Party nominating perhaps the most unfamiliar to the voters candidate, Socialist party divided by two rival factions and the two youngest parties nominating their unknown leaders, the November election will be a mere formality.
While international election watchdogs prepare to deploy their observers in Tajikistan, Emomali Rakhmonov has a chance to be re-elected through the procedure of genuinely free and fair election and get his no less than 90 percent of the vote in a fair play.
on September 27th, 2006 at 3:32 pm
Alexander, welcome - interesting post!
It all reminds me a bit of Kazakhstan, where (although irregularities did exist) Nazarbayev took home a safe 91% of the vote - and people agree that this generally reflects the voters’ decision. There were simply no real alternatives to tick on the ballot.
It is difficult to compare elections in different countries, but do you think Tajikistan’s elections will ‘even’ be fairer than the December 2005 presidential poll in Kazakhstan?
on September 27th, 2006 at 3:33 pm
Ah, by the way, Rakhmonov also seems to take home a relatively safe victory on our blog poll: http://tajikistan.neweurasia.net/?p=78
His party is currently at 44% of total votes.
on September 28th, 2006 at 6:47 am
Ben, I really do believe that Tajikistan’s upcoming presidential election will be pretty fair and the results will reflect the voters’ will. Unfortunately, I cannot compare Tajikistan’s elections with Kazakhstan’s ones because I do not have adequate information about the latter.
on September 28th, 2006 at 7:45 pm
Ben,
I think Kazakh opposition was still hoping to get more than just 6% of the votes. They already had one candidate from opposition in February 2005, and were campaigning a lot. People knew Tuyakbai. Many were suprised by Nazarbayev’s 91%. So I think it’s quite different.
on September 29th, 2006 at 7:16 am
It is not about the elections it is about the situation in Tajikistan. It is wholly unfair. Rahmonov created such an environmnet where everything seems fair, which is unfair.
on September 29th, 2006 at 9:55 am
Vadim,
Yes, this is unfair, and we cannot do much to change it for the moment. And those who can - powers with influence in the region - are more concerned with stability that Rakhmonov’s administration has to offer.
This is also unfair, eh?
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Free and Fair, No JokeNeweurasia.net, Europe - 11 hours agoTajikistan is moving ahead towards what can be the country s first genuinely free and fair presidential election
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It is not about the elections it is about the situation in Tajikistan. It is wholly unfair. Rahmonov created such an environmnet where everything seems fair, which is unfair.
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It is not about the elections it is about the situation in Tajikistan. It is wholly unfair. Rahmonov created such an environmnet where everything seems fair, which is unfair.
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I think Kazakh opposition was still hoping to get more than just 6% of the votes.
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It is difficult to compare elections in different countries, but do you think Tajikistan’s elections will ‘even’ be fairer than the December 2005 presidential poll in Kazakhstan?
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This is where election manipulation came from: the winner got everything, including the votes of his opponents.
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their outcome has never been falsified; only the numbers were manipulated. It was done mainly due to the region’s inviolable tradition of “granting” no less than 90 percent of the vote to the leader, with Tsekkur
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It is not about the elections it is about the situation in Tajikistan. It is wholly unfair. Rahmonov created such an environmnet where everything seems fair, which is unfair.
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on December 24th, 2007 at 4:24 pm
think Kazakh opposition was still hoping to get more than just 6% of the votes. They already had one candidate from opposition in February 2005, and were campaigning a lot. People knew Tuyakbai. Many were suprised by Nazarbayev’s 91%. So I think it’s quite different.
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